1-2 last night which brings us to 18-14 overall. Keep chipping away.
Love:
LSU vs. Florida 6 p.m. CT ESPN2
This is a big time revenge spot for LSU as they are trying to avenge a loss to Florida a few weeks back. Since that game they have played their best ball of the season, winning three straight while beating Tennessee in that streak. LSU has begun to look like a real threat to make a second weekend tournament run. They have as good of a top four as you can really ask for with Tremont Waters, Naz Reid, Javonte Smart, and Skylar Mays.
For whatever set of reasons Florida is a horrible home team. They are 3-11 ATS on their home court and only 9-5 straight up. On the flip side LSU loves playing on the road, as they are 7-2 ATS on the road and 8-1 straight up. Those are pretty alarming opposites.
With LSU being the better team and looking for a revenge game this is a great spot. LSU is also still fighting for an SEC regular season championship and the best way to ensure that is to keep winning. I think this is an oversight by the oddsmakers and sometimes they just hand you gifts. We'll take it.
Pick: LSU +1
Like:
Marquette vs. Seton Hall 5:30 p.m. CT Fox Sports 1
Both of these teams are riding losing streaks. Marquette's is two games and Seton Hall's is three games long. Marquette is simply too good of a team to lose three straight games.
Marquette shoots the heck out of the ball. Every player on the court most times for them can hit from deep and that makes a team so lethal. Markus Howard can get an effortless 50 on every night, he is must watch TV when he really gets cookin'. Marquette is also still fighting for the regular season Big East title. Marquette is a great team as a road favorite this season. They are 4-0 in this exact spot on the season, could be worse.
Seton Hall isn't bad but they aren't great at anything. They are one of the worst three point shooting teams in the nation, ranking 283th in three point efficiency this year. They have an ok offense, a solid defense but again they don't do anything to overwhelm you.
Marquette has to get back to their winning days and should play with a little bit of urgency tonight. Look for a Markus Howard to have a big night and Marquette come away with the road win and cover.
Pick: Marquette -3
Lean:
Ohio State vs. Northwestern 8 p.m. CT Big Ten Network
I am very tempted to take Northwestern in this one because this line makes no sense. Not only is Northwestern laying a point to a far superior team but the line has moved from the opening line of Northwestern +1 to Northwestern -1. So taking the Wildcats here may not be a bad idea if you can stomach backing that team.
I'm going to shift my attention towards the under here. Northwestern has no offense, ranked 199th, a stellar defense, ranked 26th, and prefer a slow pace, ranked 244th. Ohio State has a good offense, ranked 69th, a better defense, ranked 22nd, and an even slower pace, ranked 300th. To look at some other splits in this game, Northwestern unders are 6-10 when they play at home and Ohio State's unders are 8-2 when they get away from the comfort of Columbus. UNDER.
The last time these two met the final score was 63-49, 112 total points. I expect a similar game tonight as these two are an under match made in heaven.
Pick: Under 127
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